Gutless Plunderer
Common · Creature — Skeleton Pirate
4.0WeakRank 235 of 271
54.0%Rank 162 of 274 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins more than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.0/10).
Why. A 2/2 deathtouch for three mana, so it trades with nearly anything on defense. If you attacked this turn, Raid lets you look at the top three cards of your library, put one back on top and put the rest into your graveyard.
Risks. Raid needs an attack before you cast it, so you play it in your second main phase. The 2/2 body dies to any small burn spell.
In the draft. Solid filler for black decks, better in aggressive builds. Take it when nothing stronger is on offer.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 73 of 90
- Black: rank 36 of 43
- Cost 3: rank 60 of 69
- Average pick: 8.7 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.3 % · 83,199 games
- 2 copies52.4 % · 18,776 games
- 3 copies51.3 % · 1,942 games
- 4 copies or more55.4 % · 204 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks53.9 % · 29,196 games
- Next two weeks54.1 % · 17,515 games
- After that53.2 % · 2,917 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Electroduplicate541 games · 52.1 % (instead of 49.7% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Crystal Barricade622 games · 44.2 % (instead of 48.6% expected)
- Spinner of Souls2,769 games · 51.1 % (instead of 55.3% expected)
- Vivien Reid1,117 games · 50.4 % (instead of 54.5% expected)
Where it is played
B/R · 50 %B/G · 36 %
Played in 13% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
24. Dreadwing Scavenger
7.6
29. Alesha, Who Laughs at Fate
7.4
51. Abyssal Harvester
6.9
64. Hero's Downfall
6.6
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.