Fated Firepower
Mythic · Enchantment
8.0Very goodRank 18 of 281
57.5%Rank 73 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
One of the very best mythics of the format (8.0/10).
Why. A flash enchantment that adds as much damage as it has fire counters to every source you control that hurts the opponent or their permanents. With a board of attackers or small damage spells, every hit does a lot more.
Risks. Three red mana on top of X, and it does nothing alone: with no damage sources it is a dead enchantment. Enchantment removal or an empty board makes it useless.
In the draft. A card for a dedicated red deck with plenty of creatures or small damage spells. Better picked mid-pack than as a first choice.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +3.0 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Mythic: rank 12 of 20
- Red: rank 2 of 40
- Cost 3: rank 4 of 64
- Average pick: 4.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.9 % · 9,863 games
- 2 copies58.5 % · 323 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks59.2 % · 2,080 games
- Next two weeks57.5 % · 1,261 games
- After that59.1 % · 950 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Gran-Gran766 games · 61.5 % (instead of 58.2% expected)
- Vindictive Warden3,743 games · 59.2 % (instead of 56.0% expected)
- Invasion Submersible874 games · 62.4 % (instead of 59.3% expected)
- Sozin's Comet217 games · 55.3 % (instead of 52.3% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Avatar Enthusiasts629 games · 52.5 % (instead of 57.3% expected)
- Razor Rings711 games · 53.6 % (instead of 57.2% expected)
- Water Tribe Rallier658 games · 55.9 % (instead of 59.1% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
46. Dragonfly Swarm
7.0
48. Iroh, Tea Master
7.0
111. Twin Blades
6.0
143. Vindictive Warden
5.6
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.