Foggy Swamp Visions
Rare · Sorcery
2.0WeakRank 268 of 281
47.8%Rank 273 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).
Why. A three-mana black sorcery with an additional Waterbend X cost: it exiles X creature cards from graveyards and creates a token copy of each, sacrificed at your next end step. A graveyard trick, not a board play.
Risks. The additional cost is huge and the gain is temporary: the tokens vanish quickly. You need creature cards in graveyards and enough mana or creatures to tap.
In the draft. Pass it almost always. Only in a very specific black graveyard deck, which is rare.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 58 of 60
- Black: rank 39 of 40
- Cost 3: rank 60 of 64
- Average pick: 9.2 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks44.2 % · 466 games
- Next two weeks48.2 % · 137 games
- After that48.2 % · 114 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- True Ancestry160 games · 55.6 % (instead of 47.1% expected)
- Badgermole220 games · 55.0 % (instead of 47.8% expected)
- Rocky Rebuke237 games · 54.9 % (instead of 47.8% expected)
- Mai, Scornful Striker175 games · 52.0 % (instead of 45.4% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Watery Grasp180 games · 42.2 % (instead of 48.7% expected)
- Wolfbat210 games · 41.0 % (instead of 45.9% expected)
- Tolls of War225 games · 43.1 % (instead of 47.5% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
15. Raven Eagle
8.2
36. Foggy Swamp Spirit Keeper
7.3
64. Boiling Rock Rioter
6.6
83. Ozai's Cruelty
6.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.