Foggy Swamp Vinebender

Common · Creature — Human Plant Ally

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 267 of 281

Observed strength

52.4%Rank 227 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A 4/3 for four that cannot be blocked by creatures with power 2 or less. Waterbend 5 adds a +1/+1 counter during your turn, with help from tapping your creatures and artifacts.

Risks. Any creature with power 3 or more stops it. Waterbend costs a lot of mana or tapped creatures, so it only matters late in the game.

In the draft. A fair green body for the curve. Take it mid-pack; it is better than a vanilla creature, but not by much.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game52.4 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand51.6 %(set average : 55.4 %)
Card drawn during the game53.0 %(set average : 56.8 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -1.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)25.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 85 of 91
  • Green: rank 37 of 39
  • Cost 4: rank 48 of 52
  • Average pick: 10.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

10,066 games54.9 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
5,582 games54.2 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
4,413 games55.9 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
3,530 games52.5 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
2,085 games51.9 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
1,482 games52.6 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
1,268 games55.8 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
1,176 games51.2 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand50.5 %· 3,033 games
All players, card in hand53.3 %· 14,033 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.5 %(set average : 59.1 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.7 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.1 % · 27,244 games
  • 2 copies53.7 % · 4,116 games
  • 3 copies55.7 % · 357 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks52.8 % · 7,652 games
  • Next two weeks55.1 % · 3,789 games
  • After that52.3 % · 2,592 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

  • Hog-Monkey1,022 games · 54.8 % (instead of 50.9% expected)
  • The Last Agni Kai648 games · 53.7 % (instead of 50.1% expected)
  • Sold Out3,148 games · 56.3 % (instead of 53.6% expected)
  • Heartless Act1,852 games · 57.1 % (instead of 54.6% expected)

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • The Earth King

    12. The Earth King

    8.4
  • Beifong's Bounty Hunters

    35. Beifong's Bounty Hunters

    7.4
  • Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements

    43. Avatar Aang // Aang, Master of Elements

    7.0
  • Diligent Zookeeper

    66. Diligent Zookeeper

    6.6

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.