Mai, Scornful Striker

Rare · Legendary Creature — Human Noble Ally

Pick rating

5.6PlayableRank 132 of 281

Observed strength

53.9%Rank 189 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

It wins less than its rating suggests.

Why this gap?

The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.

Good playable that always makes the cut (5.6/10).

Why. A two-mana 2/2 with first strike that makes any player who casts a noncreature spell lose 2 life, you included. She attacks and blocks well and punishes spell-heavy decks.

Risks. She costs you life too when you cast your own spells. She doesn't survive removal and is weak in a spell-heavy deck.

In the draft. A creature for an aggressive black deck packed with creatures. Take her late; avoid her in a deck that casts many spells.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.9 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand53.9 %(set average : 55.4 %)
Card drawn during the game53.9 %(set average : 56.8 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +1.1 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)70.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 45 of 60
  • Black: rank 16 of 40
  • Cost 2: rank 35 of 74
  • Average pick: 4.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

3,265 games53.6 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
3,025 games54.4 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
2,934 games52.8 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
2,405 games55.4 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
720 games54.2 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
325 games48.9 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
283 games47.3 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)
253 games53.8 %(all pairs : 53.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand51.9 %· 1,242 games
All players, card in hand54.3 %· 6,105 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.7 %(set average : 59.1 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)50.4 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy53.6 % · 13,136 games
  • 2 copies53.3 % · 715 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks54.7 % · 3,383 games
  • Next two weeks53.7 % · 1,558 games
  • After that53.8 % · 1,164 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Day of Black Sun

    38. Day of Black Sun

    7.2
  • Heartless Act

    47. Heartless Act

    7.0
  • Epic Downfall

    53. Epic Downfall

    6.9
  • Obsessive Pursuit

    57. Obsessive Pursuit

    6.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.