Savanti Romero, Time's Exile

Rare · Legendary Creature — Demon Wizard

Pick rating

6.0PlayableRank 73 of 190

Observed strength

59.8%Rank 35 of 184 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 57.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Good playable that always makes the cut (6.0/10).

Why. A 4/4 trampler that gets a counter and draws at the start of each combat: one card the first time, then two, then three. Left alone, it takes over the game.

Risks. Every draw also costs that much life, so the pressure builds on you too. Five mana with two black, and a removal answers it.

In the draft. A strong black pick, especially if you can protect your life total. It rewards decks that can control the board.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game59.8 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Card in the opening hand57.7 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card drawn during the game61.1 %(set average : 58.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.3 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)92.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Rare: rank 22 of 53
  • Black: rank 11 of 28
  • Cost 5: rank 10 of 23
  • Average pick: 2.1 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

4,328 games59.6 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
2,906 games57.0 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
1,205 games57.3 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
349 games54.7 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
195 games55.9 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
176 games51.1 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
116 games59.5 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)
105 games43.8 %(all pairs : 57.6 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand59.0 %· 1,046 games
All players, card in hand60.6 %· 4,263 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)60.4 %(set average : 59.4 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)54.6 %(set average : 54.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy57.5 % · 9,571 games
  • 2 copies58.3 % · 295 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks61.1 % · 2,776 games
  • Next two weeks59.5 % · 1,327 games
  • After that61.3 % · 160 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Shredder, Unrelenting

    51. Shredder, Unrelenting

    6.5
  • Pizza Face, Gastromancer

    63. Pizza Face, Gastromancer

    6.2
  • Bebop, Warthog Warrior

    175. Bebop, Warthog Warrior

    2.0

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.