Zog, Triceraton Castaway

Common · Legendary Creature — Dinosaur Soldier

Pick rating

2.0WeakRank 186 of 190

Observed strength

51.2%Rank 169 of 184 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 57.7%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

Not good filler and often gets cut (2.0/10).

Why. A 5/4 with reach and trample for five. When it enters, it stops a target creature from blocking this turn, and its mountaincycling 2 means it is never dead in hand.

Risks. Five mana for a body with no other ability, and the enter effect lasts only one turn. Removal costs you a whole turn.

In the draft. A decent red common for the middle of a pack. It fits almost any red deck thanks to the cycling.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game51.2 %(set average : 57.7 %)
Card in the opening hand50.1 %(set average : 56.4 %)
Card drawn during the game51.9 %(set average : 58.6 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.8 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)10.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Common: rank 65 of 67
  • Red: rank 25 of 27
  • Cost 5: rank 23 of 23
  • Average pick: 11.4 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

3,539 games54.3 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
2,480 games51.5 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
348 games53.2 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
333 games50.8 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
314 games49.0 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
212 games40.6 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
161 games47.8 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)
113 games54.0 %(all pairs : 52.4 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand46.9 %· 514 games
All players, card in hand51.9 %· 3,649 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)55.0 %(set average : 59.4 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)49.8 %(set average : 54.2 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy52.6 % · 7,493 games
  • 2 copies50.6 % · 633 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks51.7 % · 2,522 games
  • Next two weeks53.6 % · 961 games
  • After that45.8 % · 166 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

  • Negate176 games · 58.0 % (instead of 43.3% expected)
  • The Ooze436 games · 57.1 % (instead of 52.0% expected)
  • Mondo Gecko243 games · 53.5 % (instead of 49.4% expected)
  • Leonardo's Technique278 games · 54.3 % (instead of 50.5% expected)

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

B/R · 31 %G/R · 26 %

Played in 4.9% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • Baxter Stockman

    13. Baxter Stockman

    7.9
  • North Wind Avatar

    27. North Wind Avatar

    7.2
  • General Traag, Heart of Stone

    42. General Traag, Heart of Stone

    6.7
  • Old Hob, Alleycat Blues

    135. Old Hob, Alleycat Blues

    4.8

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.