Erratic Apparition
Common · Creature — Spirit
4.2WeakRank 222 of 271
52.9%Rank 210 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A good playable, but is sometimes cut (4.2/10).
Why. A 1/3 with flying and vigilance: it blocks in the air and attacks without giving up defence. Each Eerie trigger gives it +1/+1 for the turn.
Risks. With 1 power it deals little damage. It needs many Rooms or enchantments to become a real threat.
In the draft. A decent common for a blue-white Rooms deck. Mid to late pack; otherwise a fine aerial blocker.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 68 of 91
- Blue: rank 34 of 41
- Cost 3: rank 48 of 57
- Average pick: 9.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy52.8 % · 61,457 games
- 2 copies52.3 % · 19,362 games
- 3 copies51.4 % · 3,023 games
- 4 copies or more52.9 % · 408 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks52.8 % · 24,393 games
- Next two weeks52.5 % · 12,927 games
- After that52.9 % · 4,504 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Dollmaker's Shop // Porcelain Gallery3,257 games · 57.8 % (instead of 54.8% expected)
- Overlord of the Mistmoors2,696 games · 59.6 % (instead of 57.0% expected)
- Shepherding Spirits9,953 games · 53.0 % (instead of 50.6% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- The Tale of Tamiyo206 games · 41.7 % (instead of 45.4% expected)
- Painter's Studio // Defaced Gallery5,149 games · 50.4 % (instead of 53.9% expected)
- Scorching Dragonfire9,608 games · 50.4 % (instead of 53.7% expected)
Where it is played
U/W · 38 %R/U · 31 %
Played in 8.6% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
9. Abhorrent Oculus
8.6
21. Entity Tracker
7.7
32. Unnerving Grasp
7.4
33. Zimone, All-Questioning
7.4
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.