Grasping Longneck
Common · Enchantment Creature — Horror
4.6WeakRank 201 of 271
53.5%Rank 190 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.6/10).
Why. A 4/2 for three mana with reach: it hits hard and walls off fliers. When it dies you gain 2 life, which softens the trade.
Risks. Only two toughness, so any small blocker or damage spell takes it down. It trades honestly and does nothing more.
In the draft. Fine filler for a green deck that wants curve and an answer to fliers. Take it after your removal and your better creatures.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Common: rank 55 of 91
- Green: rank 32 of 42
- Cost 3: rank 43 of 57
- Average pick: 9.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy53.9 % · 98,502 games
- 2 copies53.2 % · 18,525 games
- 3 copies50.2 % · 1,629 games
- 4 copies or more54.5 % · 110 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks54.0 % · 30,648 games
- Next two weeks52.5 % · 16,669 games
- After that55.0 % · 5,442 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Grievous Wound264 games · 47.0 % (instead of 43.3% expected)
- Miasma Demon5,895 games · 54.3 % (instead of 51.3% expected)
- Give In to Violence2,815 games · 51.7 % (instead of 49.0% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Trapped in the Screen8,727 games · 51.3 % (instead of 54.7% expected)
- Dollmaker's Shop // Porcelain Gallery1,329 games · 52.5 % (instead of 55.8% expected)
- Ghostly Dancers2,981 games · 53.5 % (instead of 56.7% expected)
Where it is played
B/G · 39 %G/R · 35 %
Played in 12% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
5. Tyvar, the Pummeler
8.9
33. Zimone, All-Questioning
7.4
39. Hauntwoods Shrieker
7.2
49. Under the Skin
7.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.