Settle the Wreckage
Rare · Instant
7.0GoodRank 29 of 188
58.6%Rank 38 of 179 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.5%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
A very good rare of the format (7.0/10).
Why. A trap instant: you pass the turn with four mana open, the opponent attacks, and you exile all their attacking creatures at once. It is a one-sided sweeper, with a cost: the opponent can search for as many basic lands as creatures exiled, but that does not replace the board they lost.
Risks. It is reactive: if the opponent does not attack with several creatures, it is worth little. They get lands and ramp, which can partly offset the loss. It also requires leaving four mana open, so doing nothing on your turn.
In the draft. Very strong in a defensive white deck that can pass its turn. Worse in an aggressive deck that wants to spend its mana every turn. Take it if you like playing at instant speed.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +5.2 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Rare: rank 13 of 53
- White: rank 9 of 28
- Cost 4: rank 7 of 31
- Average pick: 2.5 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy56.1 % · 15,137 games
- 2 copies57.0 % · 901 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks58.9 % · 5,322 games
- Next two weeks57.9 % · 1,412 games
- After that61.0 % · 912 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Lake-town Mariners // Gone Fishing866 games · 54.4 % (instead of 51.2% expected)
- Elrond, Moon-Reader225 games · 53.3 % (instead of 50.5% expected)
- The Lord of the Eagles622 games · 53.7 % (instead of 50.9% expected)
- Eagle's Rescue3,225 games · 57.9 % (instead of 55.4% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Crude Bent Blade910 games · 50.9 % (instead of 57.7% expected)
- The Black Arrow652 games · 47.7 % (instead of 53.1% expected)
- Riddles in the Dark308 games · 46.4 % (instead of 50.1% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
10. An Unexpected Party // At the Door
8.2
12. Fíli the Pathfinder
8.0
21. Celebrate the Mountain-king
7.4
30. Bard's Company
7.0
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.