Speed, Young Avenger

Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Mutant Hero

Pick rating

4.9WeakRank 189 of 276

Observed strength

53.3%Rank 196 of 273 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.8%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

A solid playable that rarely gets cut (4.9/10).

Why. A two-mana 2/2 with haste. Whenever you cast a noncreature spell, you may pay one mana: a target creature with haste then can't be blocked except by creatures with haste.

Risks. The ability needs noncreature spells, and its one guaranteed target is Speed himself, who is fragile. Without it, this is only a hasty 2/2.

In the draft. A fair choice for aggressive red decks with several noncreature spells and hasty creatures. Otherwise it is a plain 2/2 for the curve.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game53.3 %(set average : 56.8 %)
Card in the opening hand55.5 %(set average : 55.6 %)
Card drawn during the game51.5 %(set average : 57.5 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : -0.9 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)30.0 %(set average : 63.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Uncommon: rank 66 of 100
  • Red: rank 17 of 37
  • Cost 2: rank 46 of 63
  • Average pick: 9.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

4,874 games55.6 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
1,406 games53.1 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
1,245 games54.5 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
1,180 games52.1 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
250 games55.2 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
247 games49.4 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
169 games41.4 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)
126 games53.2 %(all pairs : 54.1 %)

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand54.3 %· 994 games
All players, card in hand54.0 %· 4,200 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)56.6 %(set average : 58.6 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.6 %(set average : 53.6 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.1 % · 8,926 games
  • 2 copies55.2 % · 843 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks54.2 % · 2,826 games
  • Next two weeks53.3 % · 1,178 games
  • After that54.6 % · 196 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Where it is played

R/W · 27 %

Played in 2.7% of the decks of the set

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • The Ruinous Wrecking Crew

    13. The Ruinous Wrecking Crew

    8.3
  • Hawkeye, Master Marksman

    18. Hawkeye, Master Marksman

    8.0
  • Vision Quest

    25. Vision Quest

    7.6
  • Photon Blast Barrage

    80. Photon Blast Barrage

    6.4

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.