Koya, Death from Above
Uncommon · Legendary Creature — Mutant Ninja Bird
8.0Very goodRank 12 of 190
58.5%Rank 59 of 184 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 57.7%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
It wins less than its rating suggests.
Why this gap?
The pick rating is a prior: it is for choosing a card before there are results. The observed strength comes from real games, and the win rate of a card is stable from one week to the next. The gap often comes from a card that is easy to replace at the pick but very efficient once played, from a good archetype that carries it, or from a flaw of our rating: in a set that already has many games, the results are more reliable than the rating.
One of the very best uncommons of the format (8.0/10).
Why. A 2/1 flier for three that exiles another creature when it enters. It comes back at end of turn unless you pay three and a black mana: early it is a tempo play, late it is removal on a flying body.
Risks. Paying costs four more mana than the spell itself, so the permanent exile comes late and only with black. Otherwise the creature returns. The body is fragile.
In the draft. Very good in white-black, where it becomes removal on a flier. Outside black it is only a tempo effect.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +0.5 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Uncommon: rank 8 of 55
- White: rank 5 of 28
- Cost 3: rank 1 of 46
- Average pick: 4.0 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy58.5 % · 22,755 games
- 2 copies60.2 % · 5,313 games
- 3 copies57.6 % · 361 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks59.2 % · 8,808 games
- Next two weeks59.4 % · 3,710 games
- After that59.4 % · 663 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- Krang, Utrom Warlord182 games · 60.4 % (instead of 55.1% expected)
- Mikey & Leo, Chaos & Order982 games · 60.3 % (instead of 57.3% expected)
- Northampton Farm847 games · 59.9 % (instead of 57.5% expected)
- Raph & Leo, Sibling Rivals1,531 games · 58.7 % (instead of 56.9% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Mouser Foundry3,049 games · 55.0 % (instead of 59.8% expected)
- Spicy Oatmeal Pizza1,993 games · 55.6 % (instead of 59.2% expected)
- Turtles Forever410 games · 53.2 % (instead of 56.2% expected)
Where it is played
B/W · 46 %G/W · 29 %
Played in 15% of the decks of the set
Other cards of the same cost and colours
26. Agent Bishop, Man in Black
7.2
31. Karai, Future of the Foot
7.0
50. Turncoat Kunoichi
6.6
60. Karai's Technique
6.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.