Ozai, the Phoenix King

Mythic · Legendary Creature — Human Noble

Pick rating

8.1Very goodRank 16 of 281

Observed strength

58.9%Rank 44 of 279 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 56.2%

How are these measures computed?

Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.

Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).

One of the very best mythics of the format (8.1/10).

Why. A 7/7 with trample and haste that attacks the turn it arrives, with Firebending 4. Unspent mana becomes red instead of disappearing, and with six unspent mana it gains flying and indestructible.

Risks. Six mana including two black and two red, on a turn where you do nothing else. Without six unspent mana it is still vulnerable to chump blocks and removal, and the colors are demanding.

In the draft. More fragile than its size suggests: take it only if you are already black-red. Not a strong pick if you are undecided, but a decent late-game threat.

Win rate of the card

Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.

Card in hand at some point in the game58.9 %(set average : 56.2 %)
Card in the opening hand57.0 %(set average : 55.4 %)
Card drawn during the game60.2 %(set average : 56.8 %)

Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +8.7 win-rate points

How often it ends up in the deck once drafted by a strong player (not a win rate)69.0 %(set average : 61.0 %)

Its place in the set

  • Mythic: rank 11 of 20
  • Multicolour: rank 3 of 51
  • Cost 6: rank 3 of 13
  • Average pick: 2.9 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)

Win rate by colour pair

Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.

6,339 games55.4 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
1,120 games54.6 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
466 games52.8 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
406 games49.5 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)
388 games57.7 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)

splash

325 games53.2 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)

splash

268 games58.6 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)

splash

180 games44.4 %(all pairs : 54.7 %)

splash

Win rate: strong players and all players

Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.

Strong players (diamond and mythic ranks), card in hand60.2 %· 1,246 games
All players, card in hand59.0 %· 4,533 games

Win rate on the play and on the draw

Games on the play (the deck holds the card)57.9 %(set average : 59.1 %)
Games on the draw, so drawing from the first turn (the deck holds the card)51.5 %(set average : 52.9 %)

Win rate by number of copies in the deck

  • 1 copy54.6 % · 10,131 games
  • 2 copies57.5 % · 386 games

Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)

  • First two weeks59.5 % · 2,420 games
  • Next two weeks59.2 % · 1,152 games
  • After that57.5 % · 961 games

Win rate alongside other cards

Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.

Cards it wins more with

Cards it wins less with

Other cards of the same cost and colours

  • The Rise of Sozin // Fire Lord Sozin

    2. The Rise of Sozin // Fire Lord Sozin

    9.3
  • Koh, the Face Stealer

    8. Koh, the Face Stealer

    8.7
  • Iroh, Grand Lotus

    42. Iroh, Grand Lotus

    7.1
  • Canyon Crawler

    162. Canyon Crawler

    5.3

Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.