Niko, Light of Hope
Mythic · Legendary Creature — Human Wizard
8.5BombRank 11 of 271
59.8%Rank 34 of 269 by win rate, card in hand · set average: 55.9%
How are these measures computed?
Pick rating. The pick rating estimates what a card is worth when you choose it, before there are results: it combines several signals (expert evaluations, the choices of strong players, characteristics of the card such as its cost and rarity) and was tuned on the results of decks of strong players. It is for comparing cards while you draft.
Observed strength. The observed strength is the win rate of the games in which the card was in hand at some point (opening hand or drawn), from hundreds of thousands of real games of online draft players since the set came out. The rank compares the cards seen in at least 1,000 games. It does not correct for the strength of the deck the card is played in, and a result stays uncertain for a card that is played little (about 1.6 points of margin at 1,000 games).
One of the very best mythics of the format (8.5/10).
Why. A 3/4 that creates two Shard tokens, enchantments that let you scry 1 then draw for two mana and a sacrifice. Its ability exiles one of your nonlegendary creatures until the next end step to replay it, and the Shards become copies of that creature until then.
Risks. A two-colour white-blue card that costs four mana. Its ability is only really good with nonlegendary creatures that do something when they enter, and each Shard needs two mana.
In the draft. A good pick in white-blue. In other decks it stays a solid 3/4, but the colour pair makes it better.
Win rate of the card
Percentage of games won by the decks that play this card, depending on when it shows up, from the real games of the set.
Gap when it is drawn, against the games where it is not : +7.8 win-rate points
Its place in the set
- Mythic: rank 8 of 20
- Multicolour: rank 2 of 34
- Cost 4: rank 2 of 41
- Average pick: 1.8 (1 = taken first from a pack; the lower the number, the earlier players choose it)
Win rate by colour pair
Percentage of games won by the decks of each pair that play the card, with the number of games. The pairs are the two main colors of the deck: when the card has a color outside the pair, the deck plays it as a splash (marked “splash”). A pair that has an archetype in this set leads to its guide.
splash
splash
splash
splash
splash
Win rate: strong players and all players
Percentage of games won when the card is in hand; strong players are those ranked diamond or mythic online.
Win rate on the play and on the draw
Win rate by number of copies in the deck
- 1 copy55.1 % · 23,749 games
- 2 copies59.7 % · 417 games
Win rate since the set came out (card in hand)
- First two weeks59.9 % · 5,808 games
- Next two weeks60.5 % · 3,380 games
- After that58.9 % · 1,186 games
Win rate alongside other cards
Win rate of the decks that play both cards, compared with the one you would expect from what each card gets alone. At least 150 games together.
Cards it wins more with
- The Mindskinner1,306 games · 58.7 % (instead of 54.0% expected)
- Erratic Apparition4,927 games · 55.7 % (instead of 53.4% expected)
- Ghostly Dancers1,802 games · 60.3 % (instead of 58.1% expected)
- Scrabbling Skullcrab2,584 games · 53.3 % (instead of 51.3% expected)
Cards it wins less with
- Glassworks // Shattered Yard1,958 games · 51.7 % (instead of 55.8% expected)
- Raucous Carnival2,274 games · 52.3 % (instead of 55.6% expected)
- Wary Watchdog2,214 games · 52.4 % (instead of 55.4% expected)
Other cards of the same cost and colours
18. Enduring Curiosity
7.9
24. Midnight Mayhem
7.6
30. Kaito, Bane of Nightmares
7.4
90. Glimmerburst
6.2
Intrinsic ratings: they do not take into account the cards you have already picked. They matter most for the first pick of the first pack.